We've reached the halfway point in the NFL season and this is where teams either make a run to the playoffs or coaches make a run to the hot seat. I'm going to tell you what I think will happen.
NFC EastDallas Cowboys: 6-2 1st Place NFC East;
End of the Year: 12-4 1st Place NFC EastThe Cowboys have a very favorable schedule down the stretch and have been the best team in the NFL since losing at Denver. They flattened escaped Kansas City in OT, flattened Atlanta 37-21 and Seattle 38-17, and most recently beat a good Eagles team at the Linc. Tony Romo is playing as well as he has every played and their running game continues to be one of the best in the league with the 3 headed attack of Marion Barber, Tashard Choice, and Felix Jones. Miles Austin's development has been a key part in their current run as has their continually stout pass rush led by DE/LB Demarcus Ware.
Key Games: @Green Bay Nov. 15, @Giants Dec. 6, San Diego Dec. 13, @New Orleans Dec. 19
Philadelphia Eagles: 5-3 2nd Place NFC East;
End of the Year: 8-8 3rd Place NFC EastPhiladelphia has just a brutal schedule down the stretch. The only gimme game they have is Nov. 29th at home against the Redskins and Philly has proven that they can drop gimme games(see 13-9 loss at Oakland). Not to mention that all division games are dangerous. Every other team they play is still currently in playoff contention and they have 5 games left against teams with winning records(4 on the road!). I don't love this team because they rely way too much on the big play to score points and can't seem to produce methodical drives down the field.
Key Games: @Chicago Nov. 22, @Atlanta Dec. 6, @Giants Dec. 13, @Dallas Jan. 3
New York Giants: 5-4 3rd Place NFC East;
End of the Year: 10-6 2nd Place NFC EastThe Giants started hot, going 5-0 right out of the gate but they've now dropped 4 straight and have looked terrible at times in doing so. The BYE week couldn't have come at a more perfect time for the G-Men and I think that they'll use it to re-establish the physical style that they've become known for and to help Eli Manning rest that bum ankle that he's been playing on. If he can't get healthy, the Giants will be in major trouble. Their 2nd half schedule isn't easy by any means. They have a similar schedule to the Eagles, however I like there's much better because they get most of their difficult games at home.
Key Games: Atlanta Nov. 22, Dec. 6 Dallas, Dec. 13 Philadelphia, Dec. 27 Carolina,
Washington Redskins: 2-6 4th Place NFC East;
End of the Year: 3-13 4th Place NFC EastThis has been an ugly season in the nation's capital for the 'Skins and Jim Zorn. He's going to be fired at the end of the year and there's no way around that. They have a monstrous 2nd half schedule and quite frankly, I'm not even sure why I picked them to get one more win this season because their easiest game(@Oakland) is on the road. They have a good defense but that offense is just anemic and one of the worst that I've ever seen. Because of that defense, I think that they'll shock a division opponent(*cough*Philadelphia*cough*) and ruin their season for the Redskins' lone 2nd half win.
Key Games: This only applies to teams with remote playoff chances.
NFC SouthNew Orleans Saints: 8-0 1st Place NFC South;
End of the Year: 14-2 1st Place NFC SouthThe Saints are good. I mean really good. Everything has seemed to go right for them this year in their run towards an undefeated start. Their offense has become balanced with a 3 headed running attack(Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell, Reggie Bush) and their defense is forcing turnovers and scoring(7 TDs, 2 more than the Browns offense). Looking at their schedule, they have a legitimate shot at an undefeated season but I don't think that they'll get it. One of these weeks, they're going to have a bad week or simply get outplayed. My prediction: They will continue to be undefeated until Week 15 where they will lose at home against the Dallas Cowboys for their first loss and then they will drop a meaningless game in Week 17 at Carolina. that could mean everything for the Panthers
Key Games: Nov. 30 New England, Dec. 13 @Atlanta, Dec. 19 Dallas, Jan. 3 @Carolina
Atlanta Falcons: 5-3 2nd Place NFC South;
End of the Year: 9-7 2nd Place NFC SouthMatt Ryan has seemed to hit a bit of a sophomore slump. Last year, he threw just 11 picks as a rookie and this year, he has already thrown 10. The good news for the Dirty Birds is that Michael Turner has really turned it on over the past two weeks(38 carries for 317 yards!) and was the main reason why the Falcons snapped a 2 game losing streak last week against the Redskins. He's going to need to play a big role in the offense going forward if Atlanta is to expect to make the playoffs because that defense has become very suspect(22nd in the NFL). They have a difficult but manageable schedule down the stretch.
Key Games: Nov. 15 @Carolina, Nov. 22 @Giants, Dec. 6 Philadelphia, Dec. 13 New Orleans
Carolina Panthers: 3-5 3rd Place NFC South;
End of the Year: 8-8 3rd Place NFC SouthCarolina should be 5-3 or at least 4-4 but they've blown 3 games that they should've won(@Atlanta, @Dallas, Buffalo). Their loss at home against Buffalo, in particular(a game that they absolutely dominated the Bills), will continue to sting if they miss the playoffs by a small margin. They've played well as of late, re-establishing the dominant running game that they produced last year with DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart to go with a defense that has played very well this year. That defense, however, took a huge blow when they lost Thomas Davis for the year last week in New Orleans. Davis had developed into the best weakside linebacker in the league to combine with Mike linebacker Jon Beason for arguably the best linebacking corp. in the NFL. The main reason that they're 3-5 has been turnovers. They are -9 in turnover differential which is the worst in the NFC(13 of their league leading 24 giveaways have been Jake Delhomme interceptions). They have a difficult schedule down the stretch, but if they can put it together, this is one of the most talented teams in the league and they could make a run.
Key Games: Nov. 15 Atlanta, Nov. 19 Miami, Dec. 20 Minnesota, Dec. 27 @Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1-7 4th Place NFC South;
End of the Year: 2-14 4th Place NFC SouthThe Bucs are awful. They got their first win of the season last year against Green Bay and Josh Freeman looked good in the process, but let's not kid ourselves. This team has one win for a reason. They have a difficult schedule going forward and I only see one more win for this team(Dec. 13 vs. Jets) going forward. But there is good news Bucs fans. The NFL Draft is only 6 months away and you should have the #1 overall pick!
Key Games: None
NFC NorthMinnesota Vikings: 7-1 1st Place NFC North
; End of the Year: 13-3 1st Place NFC NorthBrad Childress looks like a genius right about now after convincing Brett Favre to come back and play for the Vikings. Favre has played fantastically this season throwing 16 TDs to just 3 INTs. Combine that with a 68% completion percentage and some late game heroics
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pgxSzxIxPrY&feature=related. That play still gives me chills whenever I see it! This season just feels special from a distance and would be a punch in the gut of Packers' fans(my dad included) if Favre is able to win a Super Bowl this season with Minnesota. Their schedule isn't overly difficult down the stretch and sets up nicely for the Vikings to possibly get home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.
Key Games: Nov. 29 Chicago, Dec. 6 @Arizona, Dec. 28 @Chicago, Jan. 3 Giants
Green Bay Packers: 4-4 2nd Place NFC North;
End of the Year: 7-9 2nd Place NFC NorthThe Packers O-line is the worst in the NFL. It is just absolutely awful. The Vikings have gotten 14 of their 31 sacks against the Pack. Jared Allen has 7.5 of his sacks against Green Bay. In fact, the two biggest individual sack performances of the season have come against Green Bay(5 for Cincy's Antwon Odom and 4.5 for Jared Allen). Pressure has been a problem for Green Bay's defense as well. The switch to Dom Capers' 3-4 hasn't helped create the type of pressure that was anticipated(just 13 sacks this season which is 28th in the league). They're 4-4 but it's a very suspect 4-4. 3 of their wins have come against Cleveland, Detroit, and St. Louis who are arguably the 3 worst teams in the league(they lost to the other team in that category of awful, Tampa Bay). The other win the Pack possess was an escape at home against a mediocre Bears team. The difficult part of the schedule was loaded up in the 2nd half of the year and I can't see this team making the playoffs.
Key Games: Nov. 15 Dallas, Nov. 22 San Francisco, Dec. 7 Baltimore, Dec. 13 @Chicago
Chicago Bears: 4-5 3rd Place NFC North;
End of the Year: 6-10 3rd Place NFC NorthThe Bears have been struggling lately, losing 4 out of their last 5 games since the BYE week. Their one win over that stretch: the Cleveland Browns. Let's look closely at those 4 losses: 21-14 @Atlanta(Not a bad loss, but they turned the ball over in the red zone constantly), 45-10 @Cincinnati, 41-21 Arizona, 10-6 @San Francisco(5 Jay Cutler INTs in a game that they needed). Over this 1-4 stretch, Jay Cutler has thrown 6 TDs and 12 INTs and 3 of those TDs came in garbage time against the Cardinals. The Bears are self-imploding. The only reason that I see 2 more wins for this team is because they have games left against the Rams and Lions.
Key Games: Nov. 22 Philadelphia, Nov. 29 @Minnesota, Dec. 13 Green Bay, Dec. 28 Minnesota
Detroit Lions: 1-7 4th Place NFC North;
End of the Year: 2-14 4th Place NFC NorthI've always been told that if you can't say something nice, don't say anything at all. So I'll just tell you the nice things about Detroit. The Lions won't repeat their 0-16 performance. They get to play Cleveland at home on Nov. 22 so they should get another win. They have Calvin Johnson. Matt Stafford looks like he might be good if he can cut down on all those INTs(Damnit, I said something not nice! Sorry, it slipped out).
Key Games: None
NFC WestArizona Cardinals: 5-3 1st Place NFC West;
End of the Year: 12-4 1st Place NFC WestThe defending NFC champions have looked very good this year, especially on the road where they are 4-0. That bodes well for them going forward because they're going to have to win on the road if they plan to make repeat appearance in the Super Bowl. The offense continues score a lot of points despite not producing many big plays like they have in previous seasons. However, their continued lack of a running game(31st in the league) could come back to bite them in the butt although it didn't seem to last year in the playoffs. They have a very favorable schedule down the stretch and I think that they tear it up and go 7-1 over their last 8 games.
Key Games: Dec. 6 Minnesota, Dec. 14 @San Francisco
San Francisco: 4-5 2nd Place NFC West;
End of the Year: 7-9 2nd Place NFC WestThe 49ers seemed to turn the corner under 1st year coach Mike Singletary(he was their interim coach last year) with a 3-0 start that included an opening weekend win at Arizona. They were on pace to go 4-0 but lost in the last second on the miracle TD pass from Brett Favre to Greg Lewis. That seemed to derail the Niners as that loss snowballed into 5 straight losses athat really killed their playoff chances. Going forward, they have a decent schedule that could be used to propel San Francisco to 9-7 and playoff contention. However, I don't think that the 49ers are good enough to take advantage of the schedule and they end up 7-9.
Key Games: Nov. 22 @Green Bay, Dec. 14 Arizona, Dec. 20 @Philadelphia
Seattle Seahawks: 3-5 3rd Place NFC West;
End of the Year: 6-10 3rd Place NFC WestInjuries have just decimated this team. Walter Jones and Matt Hasselbeck have shown throughout the past 2 seasons that they simply can't be relied on going forward. I think that Seattle needs to just blow up the whole operation and start anew. I think they have some good pieces to build a defense around in Lofa Tatupu, Aaron Curry, Deon Grant, and Lawrence Jackson and the right coach in place with Jim Mora Jr. This team is just too old and it's really shown this year.
Key Games: Nov. 15 @Arizona, Dec. 6 San Francisco, Dec. 27 @Green Bay
St. Louis Rams: 1-7 4th Place NFC West;
End of the Year: 1-15 4th Place NFC WestI'll take the same approach that I did with the Lions and tell you all the good things about this team. Steven Jackson is a monster.
Key Games: None
Projected NFC Playoff TeamsDivision Winners1. New Orleans(14-2)2. Minnesota(13-3)3. Dallas(12-4)4. Arizona(12-4)Wild Cards5. New York Giants(10-6)6. Atlanta (9-7)Just OutPhiladelphia(8-8)Carolina(8-8)